Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.184201 0.218678 0.257340 0.303838 0.358173 0.419585 0.494190
2025-06-01 0.134125 0.178562 0.233864 0.307449 0.402475 0.520698 0.678554
2025-06-08 0.101090 0.146833 0.208418 0.296795 0.419674 0.583667 0.818159
2025-06-15 0.084537 0.131895 0.199880 0.303605 0.456640 0.672628 0.998668
2025-06-22 0.071125 0.118229 0.189787 0.304977 0.483927 0.748989 1.168173
2025-06-29 0.059585 0.104985 0.177619 0.300383 0.500206 0.809312 1.318915
2025-07-06 0.050562 0.094036 0.166999 0.295977 0.515060 0.867602 1.471125
2025-07-13 0.046023 0.089853 0.166636 0.307898 0.557087 0.972274 1.706945
2025-07-20 0.043708 0.089200 0.172057 0.330107 0.618564 1.114412 2.018141
2025-07-27 0.040475 0.086240 0.172805 0.343791 0.666242 1.237342 2.308018
2025-08-03 0.035867 0.079803 0.166109 0.342626 0.686498 1.313811 2.523052
2025-08-10 0.030733 0.071426 0.154450 0.330263 0.684015 1.348532 2.665178
2025-08-17 0.025714 0.062675 0.141262 0.314072 0.674128 1.372123 2.796434
2025-08-24 0.023136 0.058928 0.137978 0.317920 0.704970 1.477095 3.095302
2025-08-31 0.019774 0.052720 0.128403 0.306934 0.703714 1.518772 3.274088
2025-09-07 0.018153 0.050412 0.127149 0.313964 0.741291 1.641958 3.628404
2025-09-14 0.016369 0.047351 0.123667 0.315379 0.766614 1.742140 3.944796
2025-09-21 0.014461 0.043595 0.117928 0.310638 0.777373 1.812300 4.204288
2025-09-28 0.012812 0.040221 0.112599 0.306090 0.787896 1.882746 4.470885
2025-10-05 0.012146 0.039506 0.113960 0.318394 0.839855 2.050218 4.967609
2025-10-12 0.011974 0.040220 0.119194 0.341315 0.920253 2.289752 5.648498
2025-10-19 0.011429 0.039696 0.120995 0.355436 0.980300 2.487680 6.251324
2025-10-26 0.010360 0.037327 0.117297 0.354233 1.001185 2.595136 6.652218